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Burton vs Birmingham Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Arubi G. In: Dennis M.
Out: Arubi G.
26'
Sub
Webster C. In: Trialist D
Out: Webster C.
28' Event
Priske A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Burton and Birmingham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Burton
35%
Draws
35%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Burton haven't matched Birmingham's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Birmingham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Burton Clean Sheet 16%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Birmingham
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Burton vs Birmingham
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Burton vs Birmingham
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 League One
Burton vs Birmingham
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 League One
Birmingham vs Burton
2:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Burton vs Birmingham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Priske A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 31 / 100
Birmingham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Burton's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Burton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Birmingham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Cambridge Utd
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Birmingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2
Birmingham
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1
Birmingham
06 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Wolves
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1
Southampton
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