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Burton vs Cambridge Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ball D.
19' Event
Delap F.
31'
Krubally S.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Burton and Cambridge Utd finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burton
35%
Draws
32%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Cambridge Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Burton Clean Sheet 19%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Burton
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Burton
0:0
Oct 9, 2023 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Top Goalscorer Delap F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tilt C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahadme G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 36 / 100
Cambridge Utd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burton's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cambridge Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Cambridge Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
31 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0
Burton
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
20 Oct
Burton
0 : 0
Bradford City
17 Oct
Peterborough
2 : 2
Burton
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0
Burton
Page 1 of 6

Cambridge Utd

(Away)
03 Nov
Cambridge Utd
6 : 0
Brighton U21
31 Oct
Leyton Orient
3 : 0
Cambridge Utd
27 Oct
Sheffield Wed
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
24 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 3
Plymouth
20 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 2
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 14 8 5 1 28:12 29
2 Stockport County 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
3 Oxford Utd 13 7 5 1 22:11 26
4 Luton 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
5 Plymouth 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
6 Reading 14 6 4 4 25:15 22
7 Bradford City 13 6 4 3 10:8 22
8 Cambridge Utd 14 5 6 3 21:21 21
9 Sheffield Wed 13 5 5 3 22:14 20
10 Leicester 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
11 Mansfield 13 5 4 4 20:18 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
13 Wycombe 13 4 6 3 21:23 18
14 Leyton Orient 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
15 Burton 14 4 5 5 18:21 17
16 Stevenage 12 4 4 4 17:13 16
17 Notts County 12 3 5 4 13:14 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 13 3 4 6 9:21 13
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
20 Doncaster 13 3 3 7 14:22 12
21 Wigan 14 3 2 9 11:22 11
22 Peterborough 13 2 4 7 11:23 10
23 Barnsley 12 2 3 7 12:22 9
24 Bromley 13 2 3 8 13:33 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)