Sport Picks
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
England
League One Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent 
Match Events
16'
16'
Ball D.
19'
19'
Delap F.
31'
31'
Krubally S.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Burton and Cambridge Utd finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Cambridge Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Burton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Burton Clean Sheet 68%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Cambridge Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Burton
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Burton
0:0
Oct 9, 2023 League One
Burton vs Cambridge Utd
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Delap F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tilt C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Cambridge Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahadme G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 68 / 100
Cambridge Utd 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Cambridge Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burton's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Cambridge Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Cambridge Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2 Burton
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2 Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
Page 1 of 4
Cambridge Utd
(Away) 05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
29 Aug
Cambridge Utd
1 : 2 Huddersfield
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1 Millwall
22 Aug
Bromley
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
22 Aug
Bromley
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
