Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Beesley J.
17'
17'
Kpakio R.
30'
30'
McKiernan J. J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardiff
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Burton haven't matched Cardiff's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burton Clean Sheet 15%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Burton vs Cardiff
2:2
Sep 30, 2025 League One
Cardiff vs Burton
0:1
Jul 28, 2018 Club Friendly
Burton vs Cardiff
1:5
Mar 30, 2018 Championship
Cardiff vs Burton
3:1
Aug 22, 2017 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Burton
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Beesley J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lofthouse K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 10 / 100
Cardiff 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Cardiff
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Burton scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Cardiff conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Cardiff
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0 Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 Burton
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
11 Apr
Burton
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
03 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff
(Away) 25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6 Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6 Cardiff
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
18 Apr
Reading
1 : 3 Cardiff
14 Apr
Huddersfield
1 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
