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Burton vs Leyton Orient - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burton host Leyton Orient in the League One. This one's hard to separate. Leyton Orient have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Burton have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Burton have won 2 to Leyton Orient's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Leyton Orient. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burton
20%
Draws
40%
Leyton Orient
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leyton Orient have won more games recently than Burton.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Burton Clean Sheet 20%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Leyton Orient
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Leyton Orient vs Burton
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Burton vs Leyton Orient
0:4
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Burton vs Leyton Orient
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 League One
Leyton Orient vs Burton
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 League One
Leyton Orient vs Burton
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 32 / 100
Leyton Orient 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Leyton Orient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burton scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Leyton Orient has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Burton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Leyton Orient
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
17 Oct
Peterborough
2 : 2
Burton
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0
Burton
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3
Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
Page 1 of 6

Leyton Orient

(Away)
17 Oct
Leyton Orient
2 : 0
Blackpool
10 Oct
Bradford City
0 : 0
Leyton Orient
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2
Plymouth
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 10 6 2 2 10:5 20
2 Stockport County 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
3 Huddersfield 10 5 4 1 18:9 19
4 Plymouth 11 6 1 4 18:14 19
5 Cambridge Utd 10 5 4 1 16:12 19
6 Sheffield Wed 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
7 Reading 10 4 3 3 22:12 15
8 Oxford Utd 8 4 3 1 16:9 15
9 Leyton Orient 10 4 2 4 15:11 14
10 Burton 11 3 4 4 16:18 13
11 Wycombe 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
12 Stevenage 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
13 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
14 Leicester 9 3 3 3 12:15 12
15 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 3 4 7:15 12
16 Luton 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
17 Doncaster 9 2 3 4 10:11 9
18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 1 6 2 11:16 9
19 Peterborough 10 2 3 5 9:16 9
20 Blackpool 9 2 2 5 13:16 8
21 Barnsley 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
22 Bromley 9 2 2 5 9:21 8
23 Notts County 9 1 4 4 8:13 7
24 Wigan 9 2 1 6 6:13 7
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)