Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Oshilaja A.
Own Goal
21'
21'
Hewitt E.
23'
23'
Sweeney R.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Burton and Mansfield finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mansfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mansfield come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Burton Clean Sheet 20%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
2:2
Apr 6, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Armer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Mansfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 28 / 100
Mansfield 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Mansfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mansfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Mansfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Mansfield
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 31 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0 Burton
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
20 Oct
Burton
0 : 0 Bradford City
17 Oct
Peterborough
2 : 2 Burton
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0 Burton
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
20 Oct
Burton
0 : 0 Bradford City
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 3
Mansfield
(Away) 03 Nov
Wigan
0 : 0 Mansfield
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2 Notts County
24 Oct
Blackpool
1 : 4 Mansfield
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Wigan
0 : 0 Mansfield
24 Oct
Blackpool
1 : 4 Mansfield
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0 Mansfield
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
