Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
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Oshilaja A.
Own Goal
21'
21'
Hewitt E.
23'
23'
Sweeney R.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Burton and Mansfield finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mansfield come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Burton taking it.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Burton Clean Sheet 18%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
2:2
Apr 6, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Armer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Mansfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 49 / 100
Mansfield 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Mansfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Mansfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Mansfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2 Burton
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2 Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
Page 1 of 4
Mansfield
(Away) 12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0 Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0 Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2 Luton
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1 Mansfield
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0 Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0 Mansfield
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1 Mansfield
28 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 4 Mansfield
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Burton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 7 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | 6 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 22 | Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:17 | 5 |
| 23 | Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
