Sport Picks

Burton vs Nottingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Burton

Tue, Sep 22, 2026

1 - 2

06:00 PM

Nottingham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Sraha J.

25'

Adiele E.

Assist: Dennis M.

38'

Delap F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Burton

15%

Draws

51%

Nottingham U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Nottingham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Burton.
Model gives Nottingham U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Burton Clean Sheet 10%

Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burton	Nottingham U21
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	14
Draws	10	2
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.07	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Burton vs Nottingham U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Top Goalscorer Adiele E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 14 / 100

Nottingham U21 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burton Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nottingham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Burton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Nottingham U21

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)

10 Oct

Doncaster

1 : 0

Burton

06 Oct

Grimsby

0 : 1

Burton

03 Oct

Burton

1 : 3

Huddersfield

26 Sept

Plymouth

0 : 1

Burton

22 Sept

Burton

1 : 2

Nottingham U21

Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)

13 Oct

Notts County

5 : 1

Nottingham U21

09 Oct

Peterborough U21

1 : 5

Nottingham U21

30 Sept

Nottingham U21

2 : 4

Sporting CP B

22 Sept

Burton

1 : 2

Nottingham U21

18 Sept

West Brom U21

1 : 3

Nottingham U21

Page 1 of 6