Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burundi U17 vs D.R. Congo U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 14, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. Burundi U17 are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Burundi U17 at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; D.R. Congo U17 at 0.3 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Burundi U17 have won 0 to D.R. Congo U17's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Burundi U17. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burundi U17
25%
Draws
35%
D.R. Congo U17
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Burundi U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Burundi U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Burundi U17 taking it.
  • Burundi U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Burundi U17 Clean Sheet 20%
D.R. Congo U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi U17 D.R. Congo U17
Matches Played 10 10
Wins 5 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.8 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
D.R. Congo U17 vs Burundi U17
0:0
Jun 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burundi U17 vs D.R. Congo U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi U17 85 / 100
D.R. Congo U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi U17 D.R. Congo U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: D.R. Congo U17 conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

D.R. Congo U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Burundi U17 VS D.R. Congo U17
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi U17

(Home)

D.R. Congo U17

(Away)
19 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
16 May
D.R. Congo U17
0 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
02 Aug
Nigeria U17
4 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -