Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burundi U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nshimirimana A.
70' Event
Nshimirimana A.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 game between Burundi U20 and Kenya U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burundi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Burundi U20
20%
Draws
20%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burundi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burundi U20 come out ahead of Kenya U20 on wins alone.
  • Burundi U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs Kenya U20
2:0
Oct 18, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs Burundi U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burundi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nshimirimana A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kenya U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi U20 74 / 100
Kenya U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kenya U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Burundi U20's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burundi U20 VS Kenya U20
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
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Kenya U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)