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Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burundi U20 play South Sudan U20 in the CECAFA Championship U20 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Burundi U20 averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. South Sudan U20 averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Burundi U20 won 1, South Sudan U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 7, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.12 for Burundi U20 and 1.44 for South Sudan U20. This points to a South Sudan U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Burundi U20
24%
Draws
40%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: South Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Burundi U20 picked up more points recently compared to South Sudan U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.12 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 16%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.04 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20
0:1
Nov 1, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:0
Nov 27, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi U20 36 / 100
South Sudan U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi U20 South Sudan U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Sudan U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Burundi U20 attacking → ← attacking South Sudan U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi U20 scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

South Sudan U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Burundi U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 26
0.86 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sudan U2032102:07
2South Sudan U2031201:05
3Burundi U2031115:14
4Djibouti U2030030:70
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