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Burundi vs Guinea U23

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burundi in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burundi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Burundi
15%
Draws
42%
Guinea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Burundi have won more games recently than Guinea U23.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Burundi taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Burundi Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi Guinea U23
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Burundi vs Guinea U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 58 / 100
Guinea U23 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi Guinea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea U23 conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Guinea U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Burundi found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burundi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi

(Home)
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
09 Oct
Burundi
0 : 1
Kenya
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Guinea U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Argentina U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
09 May
Indonesia U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
07 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
04 Jul
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
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