Sport Picks
Bury FC vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Gigg Lane, Bury 
Match Events
33'
33'
Carr T.
42'
42'
Weston T.
45'
45'
Weston T.
AI Match Summary
Bury FC in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Bury FC have won more games recently than Curzon Ashton.
- Curzon Ashton are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 16%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bury FC | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bury FC vs Curzon Ashton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bury FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Carr T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Touray M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Curzon Ashton Compare
Top Goalscorer Weston T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bury FC 23 / 100
Curzon Ashton 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bury FC Curzon Ashton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Bury FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Curzon Ashton has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Bury FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bury FC VS Curzon Ashton
3.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bury FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Alfreton
2 : 3 Bury FC
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0 Bury FC
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1 Bromsgrove
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1 Bromsgrove
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0 AFC Emley
05 Sept
Bury FC
8 : 0 Wythenshawe FC
Page 1 of 3
Curzon Ashton
(Away) 10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Bradford PA
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3 Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4 Curzon Ashton
14 Aug
AFC Emley
2 : 1 Curzon Ashton
11 Aug
Bury FC
3 : 2 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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