Sport Picks

Bury FC vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Trophy Gigg Lane, Bury

Bury FC

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

4 - 3

02:00 PM

Gainsborough

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Bury FC

15%

Draws

36%

Gainsborough

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Gainsborough haven't matched Bury FC's recent run of results.
49% — that's where the model lands on Bury FC taking it.
Bury FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Bury FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Bury FC Clean Sheet 11%

Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bury FC	Gainsborough
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	19	12
Draws	1	8
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2.43	1.58
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy

Bury FC vs Gainsborough

4:3

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division

Gainsborough vs Bury FC

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 83 / 100

Gainsborough 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bury FC Gainsborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bury FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Gainsborough conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bury FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Gainsborough

3.38 Goals Scored 2.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)

10 Oct

Alfreton

2 : 3

Bury FC

06 Oct

Stockton

1 : 0

Bury FC

03 Oct

Bury FC

2 : 1

Bromsgrove

26 Sept

Bury FC

4 : 3

Gainsborough

19 Sept

Bury FC

5 : 1

Workington

Page 1 of 6

Gainsborough

(Away)

10 Oct

AFC Emley

1 : 2

Gainsborough

06 Oct

Whitby

2 : 6

Gainsborough

03 Oct

Gainsborough

2 : 3

Anstey Nomads

26 Sept

Bury FC

4 : 3

Gainsborough

22 Sept

Gainsborough

3 : 0

Leamington

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Hyde -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Workington -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 0

Wythenshawe FC 1

Blyth Spartans 2

1874 Northwich 0

Ashington 3

West Auckland Town 1

FC Guisborough Town 3

Ossett United 2

TBD -

Redcar Athletic -

Morpeth 2

Witton Albion 0

Grimsby Borough 0

Dunston 1

TBD -

Avro -

Bury FC -

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Guiseley -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Warrington Rylands -

TBD -

Stockton -

Hallam 4

Mossley AFC 3

Stocksbridge 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

Padiham 0

Pontefract Collieries 7

Prescot Cables 4

Vauxhall 1

Garforth 2

Bridlington Town 3

FC Congleton Town 4

Atherton Collieries 1

TBD -

Whitby -

Silsden 3

Consett 2

Liversedge 0

Bootle 5

TBD -

AFC Emley -

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 2

Bradford PA 1

Lower Breck 4

North Ferriby FC 0

Alvechurch -

TBD -

Newcastle Town 0

Bourne 3

Hanley Town 2

Coleshill Town 0

Rushall -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Boldmere St Michaels 2

St Ives Town 1

Basford Utd. 0

Bedworth United 1

TBD -

Redditch -

Stamford -

TBD -

Loughborough Students 1

Barwell 0

Chasetown 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Worcester -

TBD -

Leek Town -

Lichfield City 0

Matlock 5

Lincoln Utd. 1

Nuneaton 2

TBD -

Kettering -

Evesham -

TBD -

Stratford -

Ilkeston -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads -

Quorn -

TBD -

Leamington -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Banbury -

Racing Club Warwick -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Coventry United 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Corby 0

Stafford 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 4

Rugby Borough 2

Carlton Town 2

Shepshed 3

Grantham Town 1

Mickleover 3

Worcester Raiders 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

TBD -

Malvern Town -

Halesowen -

TBD -

Boston Town 1

Nantwich 2

Wellingborough 2

Belper Town 1

Aveley -

TBD -

Ware 2

Brightlingsea 1

Sudbury 3

Lowestoft 1

Cheshunt -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Herne Bay 4

Kingstonian 3

Windsor & Eton 0

Southall FC 2

TBD -

Carshalton -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Berkhamsted Town -

TBD -

Chatham -

Maldon & Tiptree -

TBD -

Portchester 1

Whitstable Town 3

Westfield 1

Egham Town 2

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 0

Walthamstow FC 3

Leverstock Green 2

London Lions 0

Takeley 2

Aylesbury United 6

Sittingbourne 4

TBD -

Hitchin -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Fakenham 2

Wroxham 1

Waltham Abbey 2

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Croydon Athletic 3

Sevenoaks 2

Littlehampton 2

Raynes Park Vale 3

Haringey Borough 2

Newmarket 3

Stotfold 0

Gorleston 3

TBD -

Leighton Town -

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Ascot United 3

Margate 0

Crowborough 2

Ashford United 4

Binfield 2

Deal Town 4

Beaconsfield Town 1

Sheppey United 2

Stanway Rovers -

TBD -

Flackwell Heath 0

Faversham 3

Punjab United 0

Horley Town 2

Welling -

TBD -

Chertsey Town -

Brentwood -

TBD -

Hashtag 3

Royston Town 1

Tilbury 0

Hertford Town 1

Uxbridge -

TBD -

Lewes -

Whyteleafe -

TBD -

Whitehawk -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Winslow United 4

Milton Keynes Irish 3

Concord Rangers 2

FC Witham Town 1

Hanworth Villa -

TBD -

Stortford -

Marlow 0

Hayes & Yeading 4

Peacehaven & Telscombe 2

Merstham 1

Erith Town 2

Cray Valley 1

Eastbourne Town 1

Bedfont Sports 0

Potters 2

Barton 1

Little Oakley 2

Biggleswade FC 3

TBD -

Three Bridges -

St. Albans -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Canvey Island 4

Grays 1

Cambridge City 2

Redbridge 1

TBD -

Needham Market -

Hastings 2

Hendon 1

Bognor Regis 3

South Park 0

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Leiston -

TBD -

Dartford -

Frome Town -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 0

Slimbridge 1

Willand Rovers 2

Falmouth Town 1

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Bath City -

Bishops Cleeve 1

Bristol Manor Farm 3

Steyning Town 1

Moneyfields 2

TBD -

Wimborne -

AFC Stoneham 2

Shaftesbury Town 0

Didcot 2

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Yate -

TBD -

Sholing -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Hartpury University 4

Exmouth Town 1

Weymouth 5

Melksham 1

Portland United 3

Hungerford 1

Westbury United 0

Thame United 1

TBD -

Chichester City -

Bideford 1

Tiverton 2

Larkhall 2

Dorchester 1

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Semi-finals

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Hyde -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Workington -

TBD -

Wythenshawe FC 0

Blyth Spartans 4

Ashington 1

FC Guisborough Town 2

TBD -

Redcar Athletic -

Morpeth 0

Dunston 1

TBD -

Avro -

Bury FC -

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Guiseley -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Warrington Rylands -

TBD -

Stockton -

Hallam 2

Runcorn Linnets 1

Pontefract Collieries 1

Prescot Cables 2

Bridlington Town 3

FC Congleton Town 2

TBD -

Whitby -

Silsden 1

Bootle 5

TBD -

AFC Emley -

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 3

Lower Breck 2

Alvechurch -

TBD -

Bourne 3

Hanley Town 2

Rushall -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Bedworth United 3

TBD -

Redditch -

Stamford -

TBD -

Loughborough Students 4

Chasetown 3

Worcester -

TBD -

Leek Town -

Matlock 5

Nuneaton 1

TBD -

Kettering -

Evesham -

TBD -

Stratford -

Ilkeston -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads -

Quorn -

TBD -

Leamington -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Banbury -

Racing Club Warwick -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Stafford 3

Alfreton -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 3

Shepshed 0

Mickleover 2

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

TBD -

Malvern Town -

Halesowen -

TBD -

Nantwich 2

Wellingborough 3

Aveley -

TBD -

Ware 2

Sudbury 0

Cheshunt -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Herne Bay 0

Southall FC 1

TBD -

Carshalton -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Berkhamsted Town -

TBD -

Chatham -

Maldon & Tiptree -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 0

Egham Town 1

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 2

Walthamstow FC 1

Takeley 2

Aylesbury United 0

TBD -

Hitchin -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Fakenham 0

Waltham Abbey 2

Croydon Athletic 3

Raynes Park Vale 0

Newmarket 5

Gorleston 2

TBD -

Leighton Town -

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Ascot United 1

Ashford United 3

Deal Town 3

Sheppey United 0

Stanway Rovers -

TBD -

Faversham 6

Horley Town 2

Welling -

TBD -

Chertsey Town -

Brentwood -

TBD -

Hashtag 3

Hertford Town 1

Uxbridge -

TBD -

Lewes -

Whyteleafe -

TBD -

Whitehawk -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Winslow United 5

Concord Rangers 0

Hanworth Villa -

TBD -

Stortford -

Hayes & Yeading 3

Peacehaven & Telscombe 1

Erith Town 2

Eastbourne Town 0

Potters 2

Biggleswade FC 5

TBD -

Three Bridges -

St. Albans -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Canvey Island 3

Cambridge City 2

TBD -

Needham Market -

Hastings 2

Bognor Regis 1

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Leiston -

TBD -

Dartford -

Frome Town -

TBD -

Slimbridge 2

Willand Rovers 3

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Bath City -

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Moneyfields 3

TBD -

Wimborne -

AFC Stoneham 0

Didcot 4

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Yate -

TBD -

Sholing -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Hartpury University 2

Weymouth 3

Portland United 0

Thame United 2

TBD -

Chichester City -

Tiverton 3

Larkhall 0

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Final

Warrington Town 2

Ashton United 3

Hyde 2

United of Manchester 0

Workington 4

Blyth Spartans 2

FC Guisborough Town 0

Redcar Athletic 1

Dunston 0

Avro 2

Bury FC 4

Gainsborough 3

Cleethorpes 5

Lancaster 1

Guiseley 4

Bamber Bridge 2

Warrington Rylands 3

Stockton 1

Hallam 1

Prescot Cables 2

Bridlington Town 3

Whitby 0

Bootle 5

AFC Emley 0

Curzon Ashton 3

Stalybridge 1

Alvechurch 1

Bourne 2

Rushall 1

Stourbridge 3

Bedworth United 0

Redditch 1

Stamford 1

Loughborough Students 2

Worcester 0

Leek Town 2

Matlock 0

Kettering 4

Evesham 3

Stratford 1

Ilkeston 1

Anstey Nomads 3

Quorn 4

Leamington 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Banbury 3

Racing Club Warwick 0

Bromsgrove 1

Gloucester City 4

Stafford 0

Alfreton 2

Shifnal Town 1

Mickleover 2

Malvern Town 1

Halesowen 2

Wellingborough 0

Aveley 3

Ware 1

Cheshunt 1

Cray Wanderers 2

Southall FC 2

Carshalton 3

Leatherhead 3

Ramsgate 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Chatham 1

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Egham Town 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Welwyn Garden 2

Takeley 2

Hitchin 0

Hanwell Town 2

Enfield Town 4

Waltham Abbey 7

Croydon Athletic 1

Newmarket 2

Leighton Town 1

Real Bedford 0

Wingate & Finchley 3

Ashford United 0

Deal Town 1

Stanway Rovers 0

Faversham 2

Welling 2

Chertsey Town 3

Brentwood 3

Hashtag 4

Uxbridge 2

Lewes 1

Whyteleafe 1

Whitehawk 4

Burgess Hill 6

Winslow United 2

Hanworth Villa 3

Stortford 2

Hayes & Yeading 1

Erith Town 2

Biggleswade FC 1

Three Bridges 3

St. Albans 4

Bury Town 1

Canvey Island 0

Needham Market 3

Hastings 2

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Leiston 0

Dartford 3

Frome Town 2

Willand Rovers 1

Plymouth Parkway 0

Bath City 3

Moneyfields 1

Wimborne 3

Didcot 1

Bracknell Town 0

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Taunton Town 3

Poole Town 1

Basingstoke 0

Yate 0

Sholing 1

Chippenham Town 2

Weymouth 3

Thame United 1

Chichester City 2

Tiverton 1

Gosport Borough 3

Bury FC vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Bury FC

Gainsborough

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

Gainsborough

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA