Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
McGrath J.
14'
14'
Smith T.
30'
30'
Mills A.
AI Match Summary
Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Bury Town have won more games recently than Leiston.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bury Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bury Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Leiston
4:3
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Bury Town
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Leiston
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Bury Town vs Leiston
1:0
Apr 6, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leiston vs Bury Town
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bury Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith T.
3 Goals Assists Leader McGrath J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Mills A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Clemons W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bury Town 29 / 100
Leiston 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bury Town Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bury Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bury Town scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Leiston let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Bury Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bury Town VS Leiston
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bury Town
(Home) 03 Nov
Bury Town
2 : 3 Kettering
31 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 2 Banbury
24 Oct
Hitchin
5 : 1 Bury Town
20 Oct
Real Bedford
2 : 2 Bury Town
17 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 0 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Bury Town
2 : 3 Kettering
31 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 2 Banbury
17 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 0 Stourbridge
13 Oct
Bury Town
0 : 5 Needham Market
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
Page 1 of 3
Leiston
(Away) 31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3 Guiseley
10 Oct
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
10 Oct
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0 Leiston
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2 Leiston
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 40:22 | 35 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:25 | 32 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Kettering | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Rushall | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 32:25 | 27 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:21 | 23 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 22 |
| 12 | Racing Club Warwick | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Redditch | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Stratford | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21:27 | 16 |
| 15 | Leiston | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | 15 |
| 16 | Banbury | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:28 | 14 |
| 17 | Worcester | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 19 | Stortford | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18:28 | 13 |
| 20 | Leamington | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21:30 | 10 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15:32 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4:39 | 4 |
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Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
