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Bury Town vs Needham Market - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury Town host Needham Market in the Southern League Premier Central. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Needham Market have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Bury Town have conceded 1.44 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Needham Market slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.00) point toward Bury Town. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bury Town
20%
Draws
40%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bury Town have won more games recently than Needham Market.
  • Needham Market are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury Town Needham Market
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Needham Market
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Bury Town
4:2
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Bury Town
4:0
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Bury Town vs Needham Market
3:1
Sep 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Bury Town
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury Town 14 / 100
Needham Market 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury Town Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury Town's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Needham Market has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Bury Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bury Town VS Needham Market
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
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Needham Market

(Away)
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3
Needham Market
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0
Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)