Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rashid J.

AI Match Summary

Al-Ahli in this King's Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Busaiteen
20%
Draws
80%
Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ahli have won more games recently than Busaiteen.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ahli taking it.
  • Al-Ahli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Ahli, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busaiteen Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2024 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
0:2
Jan 25, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ahli vs Busaiteen
0:3
Dec 31, 2023 King's Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
0:1
Oct 30, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Busaiteen
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busaiteen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashid J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busaiteen 10 / 100
Al-Ahli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busaiteen Al-Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Busaiteen found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al-Ahli conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Al-Ahli lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Ahli
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busaiteen

(Home)
24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4
Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2
Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3
Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1
Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 6

Al-Ahli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2
Al-Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1
Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Hidd
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sitra 0
Busaiteen 1
Al-Ahli 4
Umm Al Hassam 0
Manama Club 4
East Riffa 0
Al-Hidd 2
Al-Ittifaq 3
Al-Muharraq 1
Qalali 0
Al Riffa 5
Ali CSC 0
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al-Hala 1
Al-Shabbab 2
Al-Ittihad 3
Quarter-finals
Busaiteen 0
Al-Ahli 1
Manama Club 2
Al-Ittifaq 0
Al-Muharraq 2
Al Riffa 1
Al Khalidiyah 4
Al-Ittihad 0
Semi-finals
Al-Ahli 3
Manama Club 1
Al-Muharraq 1
Al Khalidiyah 0
Final
Al-Ahli 2
Al-Muharraq 1