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Busaiteen vs Al-Muharraq

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
58' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Busaiteen
15%
Draws
85%
Al-Muharraq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Busaiteen haven't matched Al-Muharraq's recent run of results.
  • Al-Muharraq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al-Muharraq arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Muharraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busaiteen Al-Muharraq
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Muharraq
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Muharraq
1:3
Nov 8, 2023 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Busaiteen
0:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Busaiteen
2:0
Oct 11, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Muharraq
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busaiteen 10 / 100
Al-Muharraq 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busaiteen Al-Muharraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Muharraq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Busaiteen scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al-Muharraq let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al-Muharraq's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Muharraq
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busaiteen

(Home)
24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4
Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2
Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3
Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1
Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 6

Al-Muharraq

(Away)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al-Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al-Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al-Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al-Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al-Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al-Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al-Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)