Sport Picks

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Busan Kyotong vs Gijang United

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong play Gijang United in the Korean Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Busan Kyotong averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gijang United averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Busan Kyotong won 1, Gijang United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Busan Kyotong and 1.19 for Gijang United. This points to a Busan Kyotong double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Busan Kyotong
16%
Draws
29%
Gijang United
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Busan Kyotong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong picked up more points recently compared to Gijang United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 20%
Gijang United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Gijang United
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Korean Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Gijang United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabens J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gijang United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 54 / 100
Gijang United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Gijang United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Kyotong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Busan Kyotong & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Busan Kyotong attacking → ← attacking Gijang United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Gijang United let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Busan Kyotong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gijang United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 20
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63