Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan Kyotong vs Jinju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Rabens J.
54' Event
Osei I.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Busan Kyotong
30%
Draws
37%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Jinju Citizen taking it.
  • Jinju Citizen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jinju Citizen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.7 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Korean Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Jinju Citizen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabens J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Jinju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 10 / 100
Jinju Citizen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Busan Kyotong stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Jinju Citizen let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Jinju Citizen
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
10 Oct
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 6

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
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Jincheon -
TBD -
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Siheung Citizen -
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Chuncheon -
TBD -
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Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
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Cheonan City -
TBD -
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Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
TBD -
Mokpo -
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong -
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Gijang United -
TBD -
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Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongju KHNP -
TBD -
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TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
TBD -
Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
TBD -
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Yeoju Citizen -
TBD -
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
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Haman -
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Dangjin Citizen -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
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Seoul Jungnang -
TBD -
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
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Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
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Changwon -
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Geumsan Insam -
TBD -
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
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TBD -
Daejeon Korail -
TBD -
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Pocheon -
Busan -
TBD -
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TBD -
Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
TBD -
Geoje -
TBD -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Paju Frontier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
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Hwaseong -
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Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
TBD -
Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
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Suwon FC -
TBD -
Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
TBD -
Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
TBD -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
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Paju Frontier -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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