Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan Kyotong vs Jinju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Korean Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Busan Kyotong at 1.5 goals for, 1 against; Jinju Citizen at 2.38 for, 1 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 1.69) back Jinju Citizen to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Busan Kyotong
40%
Draws
29%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Jinju Citizen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 13%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 31 / 100
Jinju Citizen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Busan Kyotong has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jinju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Jinju Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
15 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
11 Jul
Siheung Citizen
0 : 2
Busan Kyotong
05 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Gijang United
28 Jun
Busan Kyotong
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
21 Jun
Busan Kyotong
1 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
15 Jul
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Jinju Citizen
04 Jul
Jinju Citizen
2 : 1
Sejong SA
27 Jun
Jinju Citizen
1 : 0
Seosan Pioneer
21 Jun
Jinju Citizen
2 : 1
Seoul Jungnang
06 Jun
Jinju Citizen
2 : 0
Jecheon Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
Daegu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jincheon-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Chuncheon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yangsan United1
Anseong Citizen2
TBD-
Mokpo-
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong-
TBD-
TBD-
Gijang United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Sejong SA-
Seosan Pioneer-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheongju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeonsu Songdo0
Ulsan FC4
TBD-
Yangpyeong-
Pyeongtaek Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeoju Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongnam-
Yongin FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haman-
TBD-
TBD-
Dangjin Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul Jungnang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheongju Showking3
Yangcheon TNT9
TBD-
Pyeongchang United-
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon-
TBD-
TBD-
Geumsan Insam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon Korail-
TBD-
TBD-
Pocheon-
Busan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon Seogot2
Areum1
TBD-
Geoje-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paju Frontier-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jecheon Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gangneung-
1/64-finals
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
Daegu-
TBD-
Jincheon1
Siheung Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen2
Chuncheon1
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
Anseong Citizen2
Mokpo3
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong2
Gijang United1
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen2
Sejong SA1
Seosan Pioneer0
Gyeongju KHNP3
TBD-
Cheongju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
Ulsan FC1
Yangpyeong5
Pyeongtaek Citizen1
Yeoju Citizen3
TBD-
Gyeongnam-
Yongin FC-
TBD-
Haman0
Dangjin Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju3
Seoul Jungnang1
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
TBD-
Yangcheon TNT1
Pyeongchang United2
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon3
Geumsan Insam0
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
TBD-
Daejeon Korail0
Pocheon2
Busan-
TBD-
Incheon Seogot0
Geoje4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paju Frontier-
TBD-
Jecheon Citizen0
Gangneung2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam3
Chungnam Asan4
Daegu0
Siheung Citizen1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen4
Seoul E-Land2
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
Cheonan City2
Mokpo1
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong2
Suwon Bluewings1
Ansan Greeners0
Jinju Citizen2
Gyeongju KHNP0
Cheongju4
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
Hwaseong4
Yangpyeong3
Yeoju Citizen1
Gyeongnam0
Yongin FC0
Dangjin Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju1
Gimpo FC2
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
Suwon FC3
Pyeongchang United2
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon1
Gimhae5
Seongnam2
Pocheon1
Busan4
Geoje0
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
Paju Frontier3
Gangneung2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
Cheonan City-
Pohang-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong-
Jinju Citizen-
Cheongju-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
Hwaseong-
Yeoju Citizen-
Dangjin Citizen-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Gimpo FC-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
Suwon FC-
Gangwon-
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
Busan-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
Paju Frontier-
1/8-finals
TBD-
Daejeon-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
TBD-
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-