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Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Busan Gudeok Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Oh H.
55' Event
Jo H.

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Busan Kyotong
39%
Draws
30%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Busan Kyotong lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 21%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:1
May 18, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
3:1
Jun 16, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 32 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Busan Kyotong's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulsan Citizen conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Busan Kyotong has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Ulsan Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429