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Busan vs Daegu

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Woo Ju-Seong
15' Event
Choi Ye-Hoon
Assist: Kim Chan
30'
Sub
Park Gi-Hyun In: Park In-Hyeok
Out: Park Gi-Hyun

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Daegu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Busan
20%
Draws
38%
Daegu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Busan come out ahead of Daegu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Busan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Busan Clean Sheet 14%
Daegu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Daegu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Daegu
3:1
Sep 13, 2020 K League 1
Daegu vs Busan
0:0
Jul 26, 2020 K League 1
Daegu vs Busan
3:0
Jun 17, 2020 K League 1
Busan vs Daegu
2:2
Sep 28, 2016 K League 2
Busan vs Daegu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi Ye-Hoon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristian Renato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Daegu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 41 / 100
Daegu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Daegu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Daegu has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Busan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Daegu
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan17113335:2136
2Daegu1795336:2332
3Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
4Suwon FC1786336:2330
5Seoul E-Land1793530:2130
6Hwaseong1784526:1928
7Gimpo FC1767420:1925
8Chungnam Asan1766524:2024
9Gyeongnam1765625:2523
10Seongnam1748517:1820
11Cheonan City1647519:1919
12Yongin FC1738620:2617
13Paju Frontier1652917:2217
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners17421117:3414
16Jeonnam1726919:3112
17Gimhae16231113:339