Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan vs Hwaseong

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Jegal Jae-Min
41'
Son Hwi
46'
Sub
Gutemberg In: Ahn Hyun-Beom
Out: Gutemberg

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Hwaseong finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Busan
30%
Draws
47%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hwaseong a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Busan Clean Sheet 10%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Hwaseong
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Hwaseong
0:0
May 17, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Busan
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Busan
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Busan
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Hwaseong
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 26 / 100
Hwaseong 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hwaseong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Hwaseong has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Busan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Hwaseong
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
15 Aug
Busan
0 : 0
Hwaseong
07 Aug
Yongin FC
2 : 0
Busan
02 Aug
Busan
1 : 2
Seoul E-Land
29 Jul
Busan
2 : 0
Seoul
25 Jul
Busan
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
Page 1 of 6

Hwaseong

(Away)
15 Aug
Busan
0 : 0
Hwaseong
07 Aug
Hwaseong
0 : 0
Seoul E-Land
01 Aug
Hwaseong
5 : 1
Daegu
29 Jul
Jeju SK
4 : 3
Hwaseong
25 Jul
Hwaseong
3 : 2
Chungnam Asan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 22 13 5 4 32:19 44
2 Seoul E-Land 22 12 5 5 40:27 41
3 Suwon FC 21 11 7 3 43:26 40
4 Daegu 22 11 6 5 42:31 39
5 Busan 22 11 5 6 38:30 38
6 Hwaseong 22 10 6 6 34:23 36
7 Chungnam Asan 22 8 7 7 31:27 31
8 Gimpo FC 21 7 10 4 26:22 31
9 Gyeongnam 21 6 8 7 28:29 26
10 Seongnam 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Paju Frontier 22 7 4 11 22:27 25
12 Yongin FC 21 4 10 7 26:31 22
13 Cheongju 21 3 13 5 25:34 22
14 Cheonan City 22 4 9 9 27:31 21
15 Ansan Greeners 22 5 4 13 23:42 19
16 Jeonnam 21 3 7 11 23:36 16
17 Gimhae 21 2 6 13 17:40 12
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)