Sport Picks
Busko-Zdroj vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sowa B.
53'
53'
Czapla K.
57'
57'
Maj A.
AI Match Summary
Siarka Tarnobrzeg in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Busko-Zdroj
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won more games recently than Busko-Zdroj.
- Model gives Busko-Zdroj a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 20%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Busko-Zdroj | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Busko-Zdroj vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:4
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Busko-Zdroj Compare
Top Goalscorer Sowa B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Waclawek B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Czapla K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Busko-Zdroj 42 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Busko-Zdroj Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Busko-Zdroj scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Siarka Tarnobrzeg conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Busko-Zdroj VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Busko-Zdroj
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 5
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
15 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
02 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 1 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 3
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
23 Aug
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
