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Butrinti Sarande vs Maliqi Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hyska G.
59' Event
Onuh C.
61' Event
Onuh C.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Butrinti Sarande and Maliqi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Butrinti Sarande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Butrinti Sarande
15%
Draws
85%
Maliqi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maliqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Butrinti Sarande come out ahead of Maliqi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Butrinti Sarande a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 14%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Butrinti Sarande Maliqi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Maliqi
4:0
Nov 6, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Maliqi vs Butrinti Sarande
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Top Goalscorer Onuh C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hyska G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Maliqi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Butrinti Sarande 84 / 100
Maliqi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Butrinti Sarande Maliqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Butrinti Sarande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maliqi conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Maliqi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Butrinti Sarande found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Butrinti Sarande VS Maliqi
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Butrinti Sarande

(Home)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

Maliqi

(Away)
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
16 Jan
Struga
3 : 0
Maliqi
15 Oct
Vora
6 : 2
Maliqi
12 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
3 : 0
Maliqi
26 Sept
Maliqi
1 : 5
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bylis 30 22 3 5 51:18 69
2 Erzeni Shijak 30 21 4 5 57:18 67
3 Korabi Peshkopi 30 17 8 5 35:22 59
4 Apolonia Fier 30 16 3 11 44:25 51
5 Terbuni Puka 30 12 11 7 21:16 47
6 Tomori Berat 30 12 8 10 45:31 44
7 Lushnja 30 10 12 8 31:27 42
8 Burreli 30 10 11 9 30:24 41
9 Besa Kavaje 30 12 4 14 36:40 40
10 Beselidhja Lezha 30 12 3 15 45:54 39
11 Pogradeci 30 10 8 12 32:37 38
12 Turbina Cerrik 30 11 4 15 31:44 37
13 Butrinti Sarande 30 9 7 14 32:36 34
14 Maliqi 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
15 Vora 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
16 Shkumbini Peqin 30 5 3 22 30:76 18
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)