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Buwambo United vs Calvary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buwambo United host Calvary in the Big League. Calvary are expected to control this from the start. Calvary have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Buwambo United have conceded 2 and scored 0.5. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 0.85, favoring Calvary. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Buwambo United
25%
Draws
35%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Buwambo United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Calvary carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Calvary are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Buwambo United Clean Sheet 20%
Calvary Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buwambo United Calvary
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 8
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 0.5 0.46
Goals Conceded 2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buwambo United 28 / 100
Calvary 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buwambo United Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calvary let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Buwambo United scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Recent resilience: Buwambo United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Calvary registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buwambo United VS Calvary
0.33 Goals Scored 0.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buwambo United

(Home)
04 Oct
Amus College FC
3 : 0
Buwambo United
27 Sept
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Young Elephant Academy

Calvary

(Away)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)