Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buxoro vs Lok. Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Susnjar A.
Own Goal
18' Event
Shodiboev S.
35'
Kozlov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Buxoro and Lok. Tashkent finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Buxoro
20%
Draws
36%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Buxoro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Buxoro a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lok. Tashkent here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxoro Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
Sep 20, 2020 Super League
Buxoro vs Lok. Tashkent
1:3
Mar 15, 2020 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Buxoro
3:0
Oct 19, 2019 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Buxoro
2:0
Apr 18, 2019 Super League
Buxoro vs Lok. Tashkent
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamasidikov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Shodiboev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxoro 50 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxoro Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxoro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Buxoro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Buxoro scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Buxoro VS Lok. Tashkent
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxoro

(Home)
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2
Buxoro
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
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Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 19 14 3 2 45:10 45
2 Pakhtakor 19 11 7 1 31:18 40
3 Navbahor Namangan 19 11 4 4 31:17 37
4 Buxoro 19 10 4 5 28:20 34
5 Lok. Tashkent 19 9 4 6 32:26 31
6 OKMK 19 8 5 6 27:25 29
7 Andijan 19 8 3 8 24:20 27
8 Din. Samarkand 19 7 5 7 29:30 26
9 Nasaf Qarshi 19 6 7 6 20:18 25
10 Sogdiana 19 7 3 9 32:39 24
11 Qizilqum 19 7 2 10 17:26 23
12 Termez Surkhon 19 5 5 9 16:26 20
13 Xorazm Urganch 19 5 5 9 17:28 20
14 Kokand 1912 19 4 7 8 17:26 19
15 Bunyodkor 19 6 1 12 20:31 19
16 Mashal Muborak 19 1 1 17 8:34 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)