Sport Picks
Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara 
Match Events
4'
4'
Jiyanov R.
7'
7'
Sub
Khamroev U. In: Isokov A.
Out: Khamroev U.
12'
12'
Joraboev A.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Buxoro and Navbahor Namangan finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navbahor Namangan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Navbahor Namangan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Navbahor Namangan a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxoro | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan
1:4
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan
5:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
3:0
Jul 5, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxoro Compare
Top Goalscorer Joraboev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Jiyanov R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kholmatov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxoro 22 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxoro Navbahor Namangan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Buxoro scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Navbahor Namangan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Buxoro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Buxoro VS Navbahor Namangan
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxoro
(Home) 19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Navbahor Namangan
(Away) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
28 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
