Sport Picks
Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara 
AI Match Summary
Buxoro host Termez Surkhon in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Buxoro have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Termez Surkhon's 0.89 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Buxoro have won 0 to Termez Surkhon's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Buxoro. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Buxoro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxoro | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buxoro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Termez Surkhon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Buxoro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Buxoro
(Home)Termez Surkhon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
