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Buxton vs Ashton United

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Trialist E

AI Match Summary

Buxton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Buxton
28%
Draws
22%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buxton lately — more wins on the board than Ashton United.
  • Buxton are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Buxton Clean Sheet 20%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Ashton United
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Ashton United
4:1
Dec 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Ashton United
3:0
Sep 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Buxton
1:1
Apr 24, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Ashton United
0:0
Dec 12, 2020 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Buxton
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist E
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Ashton United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 49 / 100
Ashton United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Ashton United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ashton United conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Buxton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Ashton United
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%