Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buxton vs Ashton United

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Trialist E

AI Match Summary

Buxton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Buxton
15%
Draws
17%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buxton lately — more wins on the board than Ashton United.
  • Buxton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Buxton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buxton Clean Sheet 16%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Ashton United
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Buxton vs Ashton United
1:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Ashton United
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Ashton United
4:1
Dec 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Ashton United
3:0
Sep 11, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Buxton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist E
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ashton United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 84 / 100
Ashton United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxton found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Ashton United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Buxton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Ashton United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 7

Ashton United

(Away)
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 7