Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Tuntulwana S.
58'
58'
Scales K.
77'
77'
Tuntulwana S.
AI Match Summary
Buxton in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Buxton have won more games recently than Brackley.
- Buxton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Buxton Clean Sheet 19%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxton | Brackley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Brackley
5:0
Mar 15, 2025 National League North
Brackley vs Buxton
0:1
Nov 12, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Brackley
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Brackley
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 National League North
Brackley vs Buxton
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuntulwana S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Scales K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Brackley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxton 85 / 100
Brackley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxton Brackley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buxton scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Brackley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Buxton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Buxton VS Brackley
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxton
(Home) 19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
Buxton
1 : 2 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 4
Brackley
(Away) 19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0 Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0 Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Brackley
08 Aug
Telford
1 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 6 | South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Bedford | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | King’s Lynn | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Harborough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Worksop | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 16 | Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 17 | Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 18 | Telford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 21 | Brackley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
