Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buxton vs Scunthorpe

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kirby C.
73' Event
Cousin-Dawson F.

AI Match Summary

Buxton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Buxton
15%
Draws
28%
Scunthorpe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Scunthorpe haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
  • Buxton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buxton Clean Sheet 12%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Scunthorpe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Scunthorpe
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Scunthorpe
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 National League North
Scunthorpe vs Buxton
2:3
Dec 23, 2023 National League North
Buxton vs Scunthorpe
0:0
Sep 30, 2023 National League North
Scunthorpe vs Buxton
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirby C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cousin-Dawson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Scunthorpe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 56 / 100
Scunthorpe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Scunthorpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Scunthorpe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Buxton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Scunthorpe
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
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Scunthorpe

(Away)
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2
Harrogate
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