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Buzios vs Duque Caxiense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Buzios Logo

Buzios

2 - 5
FT
Duque Caxiense Logo

Duque Caxiense

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
49' Event
64' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Buzios and Duque Caxiense finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duque Caxiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Buzios
15%
Draws
42%
Duque Caxiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buzios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Duque Caxiense haven't matched Buzios's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Duque Caxiense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Buzios Clean Sheet 20%
Duque Caxiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Duque Caxiense
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Carioca C
Buzios vs Duque Caxiense
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 16 / 100
Duque Caxiense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Duque Caxiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque Caxiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duque Caxiense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Buzios's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Duque Caxiense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buzios

(Home)
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
Page 1 of 6

Duque Caxiense

(Away)
10 Aug
Buzios
2 : 5
Duque Caxiense
04 Aug
Duque Caxiense
0 : 1
Paraty
20 Jul
Rio Barra
2 : 1
Duque Caxiense
14 Jul
Duque Caxiense
0 : 3
Uniao Central
06 Jul
Juventus RJ
2 : 0
Duque Caxiense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)