Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BW Linz vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Austria Austria

2. Liga Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Malinowski S.
Assist: Wernitznig C.
29'
Conte K.
46'
Sub
Conte K. In: Weinhauer E.
Out: Conte K.

AI Match Summary

BW Linz in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BW Linz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
BW Linz
15%
Draws
26%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • BW Linz have won more games recently than Hogo Hertha Wels.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on BW Linz taking it.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BW Linz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 20%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BW Linz Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.11 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 2. Liga
BW Linz vs Hogo Hertha Wels
4:1
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Hogo Hertha Wels vs BW Linz
2:2
Aug 28, 2024 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs BW Linz
0:1
Jan 18, 2020 Club Friendly
BW Linz vs Hogo Hertha Wels
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Riegler D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ronivaldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BW Linz 85 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BW Linz Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BW Linz scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Hogo Hertha Wels conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: BW Linz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BW Linz VS Hogo Hertha Wels
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BW Linz

(Home)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
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Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)