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Bytom Odrzanski vs Brzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bytom Odrzanski host Brzeg in the III Liga - Group III. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Brzeg have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Bytom Odrzanski have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Bytom Odrzanski slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Bytom Odrzanski. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bytom Odrzanski
30%
Draws
23%
Brzeg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bytom Odrzanski lately — more wins on the board than Brzeg.
  • Win probability leans Bytom Odrzanski's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 20%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bytom Odrzanski Brzeg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Brzeg
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Bytom Odrzanski
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytom Odrzanski 49 / 100
Brzeg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bytom Odrzanski Brzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bytom Odrzanski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bytom Odrzanski scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Brzeg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bytom Odrzanski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bytom Odrzanski VS Brzeg
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bytom Odrzanski

(Home)
10 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 1
Zaglebie II
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
Page 1 of 6

Brzeg

(Away)
10 Oct
Barycz Sulow
1 : 1
Brzeg
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)