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Bytom Odrzanski vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bytom Odrzanski host Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the III Liga - Group III. This one's hard to separate. Bytom Odrzanski have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 1.25 scored and 1.54 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.06 - 1.00) back Bytom Odrzanski to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bytom Odrzanski
20%
Draws
42%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Bytom Odrzanski have won more games recently than Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
  • Model gives Bytom Odrzanski a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 20%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bytom Odrzanski Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytom Odrzanski 40 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bytom Odrzanski Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bytom Odrzanski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bytom Odrzanski scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bytom Odrzanski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bytom Odrzanski VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bytom Odrzanski

(Home)
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
05 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
3 : 2
ROW Rybnik
29 Aug
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0 : 0
Bytom Odrzanski
22 Aug
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
22 Aug
Carina Gubin
0 : 4
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 9 6 3 0 19:9 21
2 BKS Sparta Katowice 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Bytom Odrzanski 9 6 2 1 11:4 20
4 Barycz Sulow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Polkowice 9 4 2 3 18:16 14
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 9 3 3 3 10:7 12
8 Kluczbork 9 4 0 5 9:14 12
9 Warta Gorzow 9 3 3 3 9:15 12
10 Legnica II 9 3 2 4 23:18 11
11 Brzeg 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 ROW Rybnik 9 3 2 4 18:15 11
14 Stilon Gorzow 9 2 4 3 14:13 10
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Sleza Wroclaw 9 2 0 7 14:25 6
17 Polonia Nysa 9 1 2 6 8:21 5
18 Carina Gubin 9 1 2 6 6:19 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)