Sport Picks
CA Cerro vs Cerro Largo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
CA Cerro host Cerro Largo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This one's hard to separate. CA Cerro have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Cerro Largo's 0.96 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Cerro Largo slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring CA Cerro. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CA Cerro have won more games recently than Cerro Largo.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on CA Cerro taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Cerro | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Cerro scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Cerro Largo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Away concern: Cerro Largo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CA Cerro
(Home)Cerro Largo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
