Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. CA Cerro have averaged 0.69 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Maldonado's 1.55 scored and 0.85 conceded. Head-to-head, CA Cerro have won 1 to Maldonado's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.06) back Maldonado to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Maldonado lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
- Model gives Maldonado a 47% chance of winning this.
- Maldonado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Maldonado, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Cerro | Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Cerro found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
CA Cerro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Maldonado let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CA Cerro
(Home)Maldonado
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
