Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Penarol in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penarol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Penarol lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
- Model gives Penarol a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Penarol have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Cerro | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Cerro Compare
Penarol Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Cerro's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Penarol let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
CA Cerro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CA Cerro
(Home)Penarol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
