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CA Deva vs Guarnizo

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between CA Deva and Guarnizo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CA Deva
6%
Draws
90%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarnizo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarnizo come out ahead of CA Deva on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guarnizo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Deva Guarnizo
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 25
Draws 5 12
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Guarnizo
2:2
Nov 22, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CA Deva
0:1
Apr 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CA Deva
1:1
Nov 25, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Guarnizo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Deva 10 / 100
Guarnizo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Deva Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Deva found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Guarnizo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 42 matches.

Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Deva

(Home)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega383251103:15101
2SD Noja382511285:1986
3CD Tropezon382410456:1682
4UM Escobedo382112574:3375
5SD Reocin382071176:3867
6Bezana381812856:3466
7CD Siete Villas3814121251:5554
8Castro381581546:4153
9CD Laredo3813101542:5149
10Atletico Albericia3813101536:4849
11Barreda Balompie381471742:5949
12CA Deva381391655:4848
13Ribamontan al Mar381371851:5646
14Cayon CD3810101847:7240
15Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)381162138:6539
16Solares389121736:5339
17Vimenor389111838:5638
18Santona38992041:6636
19Guarnizo385112220:5726
20Velarde38133415:1266
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)