Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between CA Deva and Guarnizo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarnizo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guarnizo come out ahead of CA Deva on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Guarnizo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Deva | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Guarnizo
2:2
Nov 22, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CA Deva
0:1
Apr 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CA Deva
1:1
Nov 25, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Guarnizo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Deva 24 / 100
Guarnizo 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Deva Guarnizo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Deva found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Guarnizo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Guarnizo has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Deva
(Home) 09 May
Bezana
3 : 0 CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5 SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1 CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1 CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 SD Reocin
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01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5 SD Noja
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 SD Reocin
01 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
21 Mar
CA Deva
2 : 2 UM Escobedo
06 Mar
CA Deva
0 : 1 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
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Guarnizo
(Away) 20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
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20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Guarnizo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 103:15 | 101 |
| 2 | SD Noja | 38 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 85:19 | 86 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 56:16 | 82 |
| 4 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 74:33 | 75 |
| 5 | SD Reocin | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 76:38 | 67 |
| 6 | Bezana | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 56:34 | 66 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 51:55 | 54 |
| 8 | Castro | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Laredo | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:51 | 49 |
| 10 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:48 | 49 |
| 11 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42:59 | 49 |
| 12 | CA Deva | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 55:48 | 48 |
| 13 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 51:56 | 46 |
| 14 | Cayon CD | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:72 | 40 |
| 15 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 38:65 | 39 |
| 16 | Solares | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:53 | 39 |
| 17 | Vimenor | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Santona | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 41:66 | 36 |
| 19 | Guarnizo | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 20:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Velarde | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 15:126 | 6 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
