Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Colon Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Bonansea A.
17' Event
Lago I.
21'
Rostagno D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and Colon Santa Fe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CA Estudiantes
15%
Draws
39%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CA Estudiantes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Colon Santa Fe
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Colon Santa Fe
1:0
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes
0:0
Oct 17, 2019 Copa Argentina
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardiles F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lago I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 50 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Colon Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Estudiantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Estudiantes found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Colon Santa Fe conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CA Estudiantes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Colon Santa Fe
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
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Colon Santa Fe

(Away)
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Racing Cordoba
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
22 Aug
San Miguel
1 : 2
Colon Santa Fe
15 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Patronato
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
10 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)