Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Defensores de Belgrano

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Moyano P.
24'
Sena F.
26'
Melo R.

AI Match Summary

CA Estudiantes host Defensores de Belgrano in the Primera Nacional. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. CA Estudiantes have averaged 1 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Defensores de Belgrano's 0.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Defensores de Belgrano slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.63) point toward CA Estudiantes. CA Estudiantes in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CA Estudiantes
17%
Draws
13%
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Defensores de Belgrano.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for CA Estudiantes.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Nacional provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Defensores de Belgrano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Defensores de Belgrano
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
1:0
Apr 13, 2018 Primera B
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Defensores de Belgrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 77 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Defensores de Belgrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Estudiantes scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensores de Belgrano let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CA Estudiantes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensores de Belgrano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Defensores de Belgrano
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro19114422:1437
2Deportivo Moron19104527:1734
3Colon Santa Fe1988323:1532
4Ciudad Bolivar1979318:1330
5Los Andes1978416:729
6Almirante Brown1985614:1229
7Deportivo Madryn1977525:2028
8CA Estudiantes1976615:1627
9Godoy Cruz1967619:1725
10San Miguel19510417:2025
11Defensores de Belgrano1958614:1723
12Racing Cordoba1956817:2221
13San Telmo1948715:1820
14All Boys1948712:1920
15Central Norte1947812:1719
16Acassuso19541013:2019
17CA Mitre1939719:2418
18Chaco For Ever19271014:2513
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy19114431:2137
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez1979316:1130
4Temperley1979319:1730
5Midland1976620:1527
6Atl. Rafaela1976614:1327
7San Martin T.1968516:1526
8Deportivo Maipu1974824:2025
9Nueva Chicago1867517:1625
10Almagro1974816:1925
11Quilmes1966718:1524
12Gimnasia y Tiro1966718:2024
13Colegiales1965818:1923
14San Martin S.J.1865718:1923
15Chacarita Juniors1964915:2022
16Patronato1949612:1621
17Club Atletico Guemes19541018:3219
18Agropecuario1946914:2418