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CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
CA Estudiantes Logo

CA Estudiantes

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Estudiantes host Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. CA Estudiantes have averaged 1 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Deportivo Moron's 1.55 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Moron slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.38, favoring Deportivo Moron. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CA Estudiantes
15%
Draws
42%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than CA Estudiantes.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CA Estudiantes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:0
Sep 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Dec 29, 2020 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 51 / 100
Deportivo Moron 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Estudiantes scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

CA Estudiantes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Deportivo Moron
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)