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CA Estudiantes vs Ferro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Dening E.
24' Event
Dure F.
Assist: Acosta M.
37'
Sub
Correa J. In: Vera I.
Out: Correa J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CA Estudiantes
30%
Draws
39%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ferro have won more games recently than CA Estudiantes.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CA Estudiantes taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Ferro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:0
Jul 9, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Dure F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almiron E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 51 / 100
Ferro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Ferro conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

CA Estudiantes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Ferro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
02 Nov
All Boys
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
25 Oct
CA Estudiantes
1 : 1
Los Andes
18 Oct
Godoy Cruz
6 : 3
CA Estudiantes
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

Ferro

(Away)
31 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Ferro
24 Oct
Ferro
0 : 3
Chaco For Ever
18 Oct
Ferro
1 : 0
Racing Cordoba
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Godoy Cruz 36 19 9 8 53:33 66
2 Ferro 36 19 9 8 38:31 66
3 Deportivo Moron 36 18 7 11 53:37 61
4 Deportivo Madryn 36 16 12 8 52:31 60
5 Colon Santa Fe 36 16 12 8 45:27 60
6 Almirante Brown 36 13 12 11 30:26 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 36 13 12 11 30:33 51
8 CA Estudiantes 36 13 10 13 35:35 49
9 Chaco For Ever 36 12 10 14 39:37 46
10 Los Andes 36 9 16 11 27:26 43
11 All Boys 36 8 17 11 22:30 41
12 San Telmo 36 10 11 15 30:41 41
13 CA Mitre 36 8 16 12 31:42 40
14 Racing Cordoba 36 10 10 16 32:45 40
15 Defensores de Belgrano 36 8 15 13 25:34 39
16 Central Norte 36 7 17 12 23:32 38
17 Acassuso 36 8 11 17 25:35 35
18 San Miguel 36 6 15 15 27:42 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 36 16 16 4 34:16 64
2 Atletico Atlanta 36 19 5 12 42:34 62
3 Temperley 36 16 13 7 43:31 61
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36 16 10 10 53:49 58
5 Midland 36 15 10 11 43:29 55
6 Deportivo Maipu 36 14 10 12 43:34 52
7 Colegiales 36 14 10 12 36:32 52
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36 14 10 12 37:35 52
9 San Martin S.J. 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
10 San Martin T. 36 11 14 11 39:37 47
11 Atl. Rafaela 36 12 11 13 29:35 47
12 Agropecuario 36 12 10 14 31:39 46
13 Quilmes 36 12 9 15 33:30 45
14 Chacarita Juniors 36 12 6 18 29:35 42
15 Almagro 36 11 9 16 33:44 42
16 Patronato 36 7 17 12 29:35 38
17 Nueva Chicago 36 9 10 17 25:36 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 36 6 9 21 28:62 27
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)