Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Ferro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
CA Estudiantes Logo

CA Estudiantes

2 - 2
FT
Ferro Logo

Ferro

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Dening E.
24' Event
Dure F.
Assist: Acosta M.
37'
Sub
Correa J. In: Vera I.
Out: Correa J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CA Estudiantes
35%
Draws
37%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ferro have won more games recently than CA Estudiantes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Ferro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:0
Jul 9, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Dure F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almiron E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 42 / 100
Ferro 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: CA Estudiantes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ferro has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Ferro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Ferro

(Away)
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0
All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
2 Ferro 29 16 7 6 34:25 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 29 10 9 10 26:25 39
8 Ciudad Bolivar 29 9 12 8 24:26 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 CA Mitre 29 6 14 9 27:35 32
14 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
15 All Boys 29 6 13 10 16:25 31
16 San Telmo 29 7 10 12 23:33 31
17 San Miguel 29 6 12 11 23:33 30
18 Acassuso 29 5 8 16 19:34 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
3 Temperley 29 13 11 5 33:23 50
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
9 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
10 San Martin T. 29 9 12 8 30:26 39
11 Atl. Rafaela 29 10 9 10 21:24 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 29 9 8 12 25:33 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)