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CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
CA Estudiantes Logo

CA Estudiantes

2 - 1
FT
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Delgado L.
24'
Melo R.
43'
Albarracin M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and San Miguel finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CA Estudiantes
20%
Draws
15%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Estudiantes come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
  • Model gives CA Estudiantes a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes San Miguel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel
2:1
May 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 Primera B
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostagno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 77 / 100
San Miguel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Estudiantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

San Miguel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

CA Estudiantes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS San Miguel
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

San Miguel

(Away)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)