Sport Picks
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
12'
12'
Roncaglia F.
Assist: Gamarra R.
23'
23'
Acosta E.
Assist: Ardiles F.
26'
26'
Britez E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and San Telmo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Telmo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- CA Estudiantes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CA Estudiantes's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0
Apr 29, 2019 Primera B
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Estudiantes Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
San Telmo Compare
Top Goalscorer Roncaglia F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Estudiantes 50 / 100
San Telmo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Estudiantes San Telmo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Estudiantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Estudiantes found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
San Telmo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CA Estudiantes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CA Estudiantes VS San Telmo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Estudiantes
(Home) 13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0 Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0 CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1 CA Estudiantes
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0 Acassuso
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
25 Jul
CA Estudiantes
1 : 2 Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
San Telmo
(Away) 12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0 Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0 San Telmo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 31:15 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31:27 | 41 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
