Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Roncaglia F.
Assist: Gamarra R.
23' Event
Acosta E.
Assist: Ardiles F.
26'
Britez E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and San Telmo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CA Estudiantes
11%
Draws
9%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CA Estudiantes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes San Telmo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0
Apr 29, 2019 Primera B
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Roncaglia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 86 / 100
San Telmo 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes San Telmo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: CA Estudiantes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

San Telmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS San Telmo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419