Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
CA Lemense in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Lemense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guariba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guariba have won more games recently than CA Lemense.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Guariba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Guariba have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CA Lemense Clean Sheet 15%
Guariba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Lemense | Guariba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2014 Paulista A4
CA Lemense vs Guariba
2:4
Apr 6, 2014 Paulista A4
Guariba vs CA Lemense
5:1
Jun 9, 2012 Paulista A4
CA Lemense vs Guariba
3:1
May 6, 2012 Paulista A4
Guariba vs CA Lemense
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Lemense 27 / 100
Guariba 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Lemense Guariba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guariba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
CA Lemense scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Solid form: CA Lemense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CA Lemense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Lemense
(Home) 17 Jul
CA Lemense
0 : 3 Desportivo
08 Jul
SKA Brasil
1 : 0 CA Lemense
02 Jul
CA Lemense
0 : 3 Amparo SP
25 Jun
CA Lemense
0 : 0 Diadema
18 Jun
Taboao da Serra
1 : 1 CA Lemense
Page 1 of 7
17 Jul
CA Lemense
0 : 3 Desportivo
02 Jul
CA Lemense
0 : 3 Amparo SP
25 Jun
CA Lemense
0 : 0 Diadema
11 Jun
CA Lemense
2 : 0 Palmeirinha SP
21 May
CA Lemense
2 : 3 SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 4
Guariba
(Away) 21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1 Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4 Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3 Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4 Guariba
30 Aug
Paulinia
2 : 2 Guariba
17 Aug
Manthiqueira
1 : 1 Guariba
01 Aug
Barretos EC
1 : 1 Guariba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Votuporanguense | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 5 | Tanabi | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 10 |
| 6 | AEA Aracatuba | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:25 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Jaboticabal Atletico | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 5 | Matonense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:17 | 5 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americo EC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Guariba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Pirassununguense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | CA Lemense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 5 | Radium | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:16 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Desportivo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Sumare | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Cotia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Elosport | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Sharjah Brasil | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | 23 |
| 2 | SC Barueri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 16 |
| 3 | SKA Brasil | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Guarulhos | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 5 | Lemense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Suzano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:26 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacarei FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 4 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 5 | ECUS SP | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Jacarei (Inactive) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guaruja | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 2 | Jabaquara | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Mauaense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 4 | Sao Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | EC Sao Bernardo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams