Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Soria R.
58'
58'
Urruchua G.
61'
61'
Abal E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between CA Lugano and Leandro N. Alem finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CA Lugano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Leandro N. Alem carry the better recent record into this one.
- CA Lugano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 68%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Lugano | Leandro N. Alem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs CA Lugano
0:0
May 11, 2025 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs CA Lugano
2:0
Feb 5, 2024 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Lugano Compare
Top Goalscorer Soria R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Urruchua G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Leandro N. Alem Compare
Top Goalscorer Abal E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cristeff M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Lugano 77 / 100
Leandro N. Alem 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Lugano Leandro N. Alem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: CA Lugano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: CA Lugano scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Leandro N. Alem has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
CA Lugano VS Leandro N. Alem
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Lugano
(Home) 17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
12 Jul
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 0 CA Lugano
04 Jul
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
27 Jun
Sacachispas
0 : 1 CA Lugano
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
04 Jul
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
30 May
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Deportivo Paraguayo
10 May
CA Lugano
3 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
Page 1 of 3
Leandro N. Alem
(Away) 18 Jul
Canuelas
1 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
12 Jul
Leandro N. Alem
2 : 0 Argentino de Rosario
04 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
3 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
28 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 1 Berazategui
13 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 0 Victoriano Arenas
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Canuelas
1 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
04 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
3 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
06 Jun
CSR Espanol
3 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
23 May
Mercedes
2 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
03 May
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 4 Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 | CSR Espanol | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Mercedes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:11 | 29 |
| 5 | CA Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 28 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 17:13 | 27 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24:33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9:18 | 19 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10:25 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 23:12 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17:14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 11 | Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12:15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 14:20 | 18 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)