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CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
80'
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Caravaggio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CA Metropolitano
20%
Draws
38%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
  • CA Metropolitano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
2:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 21, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
1:0
May 29, 2022 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 40 / 100
Caravaggio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

CA Metropolitano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Caravaggio
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)