Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
80'
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Caravaggio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CA Metropolitano
20%
Draws
38%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of CA Metropolitano on wins alone.
  • CA Metropolitano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Caravaggio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
2:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 21, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
1:0
May 29, 2022 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 40 / 100
Caravaggio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Caravaggio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

CA Metropolitano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Caravaggio
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571