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CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Catarinense 2
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Match Events

64' Event
80'
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Caravaggio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CA Metropolitano
20%
Draws
52%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
  • Caravaggio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
2:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 21, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio
1:0
May 29, 2022 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 10 / 100
Caravaggio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

CA Metropolitano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Caravaggio
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)