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CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano host Fluminense-SC in the Catarinense 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. CA Metropolitano have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Fluminense-SC's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor CA Metropolitano slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward CA Metropolitano. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CA Metropolitano
28%
Draws
22%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives CA Metropolitano a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CA Metropolitano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 49 / 100
Fluminense-SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Fluminense-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631