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Stadium Background

CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Emanuel Baitler
60' Event
Emanuel Baitler
78' Event
Hugo Cordeiro

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Fluminense-SC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CA Metropolitano
15%
Draws
37%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives CA Metropolitano a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CA Metropolitano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Emanuel Baitler
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo Cordeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 95 / 100
Fluminense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Fluminense-SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)