Sport Picks
CA Metropolitano vs Jaragua-SC
Brazil
Catarinense 2 
AI Match Summary
CA Metropolitano host Jaragua-SC in the Catarinense 2. CA Metropolitano go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: CA Metropolitano at 2.13 goals for, 1 against; Jaragua-SC at 0.25 for, 4.5 against. Past meetings favor CA Metropolitano slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward CA Metropolitano. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CA Metropolitano have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
- CA Metropolitano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Metropolitano | Jaragua-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 24 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 4.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 4.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Jaragua-SC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
CA Metropolitano scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30:9 | 32 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 40:16 | 27 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Fluminense-SC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Guarani de Palhoca | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 8 | Gremio Juventus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Nacao | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5:55 | 1 |