Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Metropolitano vs Jaragua-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nunes J.
22' Event
Rodrigo Gaia
25' Event
Roney

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CA Metropolitano
15%
Draws
0%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Metropolitano have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
  • CA Metropolitano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.57 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Jaragua-SC
6:1
May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs CA Metropolitano
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Gaia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roney
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jaragua-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jaragua-SC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

CA Metropolitano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Jaragua-SC
2.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)